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Mark Hulbert

The gold-platinum ratio suggests the stock market is living on borrowed time

Last Updated: April 17, 2026 at 8:48 p.m. ET
First Published: April 17, 2026 at 8:05 a.m. ET

Illustration of a descending stock chart over the shadow of a bear, symbolizing a bear market.
Photo: Getty Images

The U.S. stock market’s prospects continue to deteriorate, according to the gold-platinum ratio — a relatively obscure indicator with an impressive track record predicting the stock market’s 12-month return.

I say “continue” because the ratio of gold GC00 to platinum PL00 was already declining when I last wrote about it in November. As you can see from the accompanying chart, the ratio has declined since then. That doesn’t bode well for the S&P 500 SPX.